By Wanja Waweru
If Parliament approves a proposal by President William Ruto’s administration to quadruple Value Added Tax (VAT) on petrol in a scheme that might make Kenya have the highest prices in the region, pump prices will almost surpass the Sh200 per litre threshold.
According to a Business Daily analysis, if MPs supported the proposal in the Finance Bill to raise VAT to 16 percent, a litre of Super would cost Sh13.51 more after the increased taxes, while a litre of diesel would cost Sh12.40 more.
The predicted increase in VAT revenue will bring the total to Sh128.98 billion yearly, or Sh10.7 billion each month.
However, the collections are based on crude oil prices around the world and fuel use.
On Sunday, President William Ruto justified the proposal to double the value-added tax (VAT) on petrol by arguing that Kenyans pay lower taxes than people in comparable countries and that increased levies will raise the much-needed money to finance development initiatives like the construction of roads.
“We are not overtaxing ourselves. But to balance it out, as we add eight percent on the same fuel, I have removed the Railway Development Levy (two percent) and Import Declaration Fee (3.5 percent),” Dr Ruto said on Sunday evening in a joint television interview.
He said the government is targeting an extra Sh50 billion from the additional taxes.
“To further balance it out I have removed the eight percent VAT on gas and other taxes to try and even the budget.”
The anticipated increase in VAT collections from fuel will come at a cost to homes and businesses that will be grappling with a fresh rise in inflationary pressure.
Consumers are currently paying Sh182.70 per litre of Super, Sh168.40 for diesel while a litre of kerosene costs Sh161.13 — the highest in Kenya since the State started regulating pump prices.
A scrutiny of the Finance Bill, 2023 shows that Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) is the only fuel from where Import Declaration Fee (IDL) and Railway Development Levy (RDL) will be removed.
Based on the official monthly consumption figures from the Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority, the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) currently collects an estimated Sh64.5 billion from VAT on diesel, Super, and kerosene.
Given that fuel prices have a substantial impact on the price of products and services in Kenya’s diesel-run economy, the doubling of VAT will cause the country’s pump prices to diverge even more from those in the rest of the region, causing additional pain for customers.
After Uganda and Rwanda, Kenya now has the third-most expensive petrol in East Africa.